Miami Dolphins

AFC East

D

Overall Team DVOA

-10.9% 25th

Tua Tagovailoa is the quarterback that launched a thousand takes. Many scouts are pessimistic because of his relative lack of arm strength and RPO-heavy offense from 2021. Football Outsiders is more optimistic because of Tagovailoa's encouraging trajectory from -8.5% to -0.7% passing DVOA rates to start his career and because he showed similar tendencies to Jimmy Garoppolo in 2021 minus the exceptional average yards after the catch. And now that former 49ers offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel is the head coach in Miami, Tagovailoa will have the chance to prove someone right. With a 0.2% team DVOA, the Dolphins land the closest to average in our preseason 2022 projections. But a new scheme and new talent in players like Tyreek Hill and Terron Armstead that seems to better fit that scheme offer the Dolphins a high ceiling and shot at the playoffs that former head coach Brian Flores couldn't quite reach despite his overachieving with a rebuilding roster. - Scott Spratt

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 22

Total DVOA
-10.9%25th
Offense
-10.8%24th
Defense
-2.9%10th
Special Teams
-2.9%29th
Weighted DVOA
-5.6%21st
Unadj. Total VOA
-9.2%22nd
Pythagorean Wins
7.621st
Schedule Strength
-2.5%27th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
9.0 wins13th
Projected Schedule
-2.0%26th
Projected DVOA
2.2%14th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
38.9%12th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
18.8%13th
Win Super Bowl
2.7%14th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
38.9%12th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
18.8%13th
Win Super Bowl
2.7%14th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021