New England Patriots

AFC East

A

Overall Team DVOA

23.3% 4th

After officially clinching a playoff berth with their blowout win over the Jacksonville Jaguars, the New England Patriots look poised to make a playoff push. While their official seeding has yet to be decided, the Patriots boast the top weighted total DVOA, the top weighted defensive DVOA, the fifth-best weighted offensive DVOA in the NFL. They have three of the top six performances by DVOA this season, all coming in the last two months. The team's defense has been suffocating, especially late in games. New England's defense leads the league in both second-half DVOA and fourth quarter/overtime DVOA. On the offense, Mac Jones continues his respectable rookie campaign, currently boasting a 12th-best DYAR 0f 590. If there is one area of concern for New England headed into this postseason, it would have to be their offense on the road. New England has the best offensive home DVOA in football, but ranks 26th while on the road. – Cale Clinton

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 22

Total DVOA
23.3%4th
Offense
10.5%9th
Defense
-12.8%4th
Special Teams
0.0%18th
Weighted DVOA
31.2%2nd
Unadj. Total VOA
24.1%4th
Pythagorean Wins
12.62nd
Schedule Strength
-1.7%25th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
9.8 wins5th
Projected Schedule
-3.0%32nd
Projected DVOA
6.5%11th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
41.4%2nd
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
28.4%5th
Win Super Bowl
4.8%7th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
41.4%2nd
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
28.4%5th
Win Super Bowl
4.8%7th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021