New Orleans Saints

NFC South

C+

Overall Team DVOA

4.7% 14th

With the top projected defense in the league, the Saints should find themselves right back in the playoff race this season. The question is where New Orleans' ceiling lies, and how much they'll be hurt by the loss of Sean Payton. Can Jameis Winston repeat one of the best seasons in his career? Will the upgraded receiving corps withstand injury and rookie struggles? Will Alvin Kamara bounce back from the worst season of his career? There are plenty of questions on offense, but the Saints at least have potential answers everywhere, at least for 2022. -- Bryan Knowles

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 22

Total DVOA
4.7%14th
Offense
-10.6%23rd
Defense
-15.0%3rd
Special Teams
0.3%16th
Weighted DVOA
-0.2%18th
Unadj. Total VOA
6.2%13th
Pythagorean Wins
9.414th
Schedule Strength
-0.9%23rd

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
9.5 wins9th
Projected Schedule
-0.2%19th
Projected DVOA
8.6%7th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
40.6%6th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
24.5%9th
Win Super Bowl
4.6%8th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
40.6%6th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
24.5%9th
Win Super Bowl
4.6%8th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021