Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFC South

A

Overall Team DVOA

31.2% 1st

Nothing like a big primetime win to calm a fanbase down. Tampa's the top team in DVOA, but it's a lot easier to feel confident when you've actually won a game in the month of November. Rob Gronkowski's return sparked the Buccaneers' offense back to what we've seen from them in the past as they steamrolled the Giants and opened a significant gap in the divisional race. Now, however, they have to bring that show on the road in a tough matchup against the Colts.  Tampa Bay's offensive DVOA drops from 31.9% at home to 18.9% on the road; still good, but not Tom Brady-quality good. --  Bryan Knowles

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 11

Total DVOA
31.2%1st
Offense
25.6%1st
Defense
-6.0%7th
Special Teams
-0.4%23rd
Weighted DVOA
32.0%1st
Unadj. Total VOA
33.1%2nd
Future Schedule
-5.5%26th
Past Schedule
-1.5%24th

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
11.1 wins1st
Projected Schedule
-2.6%30th
Projected DVOA
20.1%1st
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
37.7%13th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
47.1%1st
Win Super Bowl
13.1%1st
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
37.7%13th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
47.1%1st
Win Super Bowl
13.1%1st

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021