Washington Commanders

NFC East

D

Overall Team DVOA

-10.1% 22nd

Carson Wentz brings the illusion of a franchise quarterback to the team, and it's probably enough to fool those who were already very devoted. Our projections see this as a step towards disaster for the Washington offense. The defense should rebound on pure regression on third/fourth-down passing DVOA allowed, but so little has changed on that side of the ball that it's subjectively possible things stay the same. We're not optimistic about things in Washington this year. -- Rivers McCown

DVOA Team Rankings

Through Week 22

Total DVOA
-10.1%22nd
Offense
-5.3%21st
Defense
5.8%27th
Special Teams
1.0%12th
Weighted DVOA
-9.2%23rd
Unadj. Total VOA
-13.0%24th
Pythagorean Wins
5.924th
Schedule Strength
3.5%1st

2021 Season Projections

Mean Projection
8.1 wins20th
Projected Schedule
1.0%11th
Projected DVOA
-2.1%19th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
32.5%20th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
11.5%20th
Win Super Bowl
1.6%18th
Playoff Contender (9-11 wins)
32.5%20th
Super Bowl Contender (12+ wins)
11.5%20th
Win Super Bowl
1.6%18th

View DVOA Database

Football Outsiders Almanac 2021