Win the Wire
The best players to add to your fantasy rosters (based on Football Outsiders' advanced metrics).

Win the Wire: Week 7

Philadelphia Eagles WR Travis Fulgham
Photo: USA Today Sports Images

Week 6 provided a breath of fresh air in unexpected young receivers Chase Claypool and Travis Fulgham leading the pack of waiver options. This week, we're back to the injury grind. With standout fantasy players including Raheem Mostert, Miles Sanders, Joe Mixon, and Zach Ertz suffering injuries of various severities, many of Week 7's best waiver options earn that distinction on an injury-inflated workload. That said, there are still some talent surprises to fill in the gaps.

Roster percentages are for ESPN/Yahoo.

Travis Fulgham, WR, Philadelphia Eagles

46%/31%

Typically, when a sixth-round wide receiver who's played on two teams in two years in the NFL has a 100-yard day, it's a fluke. But it was difficult to watch Fulgham's 10 catches from Week 5 and conclude anything other than that he was immediately the injury-decimated Eagles' No. 1 receiver. Now with another six catches, 75 yards, and touchdown under his belt, I feel I can confidently proclaim that Fulgham will be the team's top target no matter which of their recovering receivers can join him in their future lineups this year. He has made that point clear among the team's recent healthy options with 78% and 81% offensive snap shares the last two weeks and with a 30.7% target share that dwarfs those of Zach Ertz (21.3%), John Hightower (13.3%), and Greg Ward (10.7%) on his team and is ninth-highest of all wide receivers in football.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 70%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: Yes

Phillip Lindsay, RB, Denver Broncos

75%/68%

If you didn't follow the news through the weekend, you may not have realized that Melvin Gordon missed the Broncos game because of strep throat, not because of his Tuesday-reported DUI. Gordon likely will miss three additional weeks because of the latter issue. That's what is mandated by the CBA, but the NFL may not make the ruling on a suspension for another few weeks. Don't wait for an update to pick Lindsay up in your fantasy leagues. He already had value based on a presumed 50/50 workload split with Gordon like he showed in the first half of Week 1 before suffering a toe injury. And any week Gordon misses outright, Lindsay will be a top-20 fantasy option.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 51%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: Yes

D'Andre Swift, RB, Detroit Lions

74%/74%

The versatile rookie Swift has the greatest fantasy potential of any player in this week's article, and that earns him the third spot in my waiver recommendations despite the Lions' mixed messages in his Week 6 usage. Let's start with the good. Swift took 14 carries -- a season high by nine -- for 116 yards and two touchdowns and added his typical three catches. And while the 54-yard scamper that provided nearly half of those yards came through a hole even I could have made it through…

… Swift showed quickness and agility to set him apart from Adrian Peterson on other plays, like this 11-yard run that was nullified by an offensive holding penalty:

But now the bad news. Swift played just 38% of the team's offensive snaps on Sunday, the same rate he did the week before and still under the 45% ceiling that has limited his value all season. Peterson played 35% and still had 16 total touches. I take solace in the fact that Peterson and Kerryon Johnson took the Lions' final six running back carries with the team up big with less than 10 minutes to go in the fourth quarter. But I can't confidently predict that Swift will threaten 20 touches like he did this week when the team lands in less favorable running game scripts over the next month or two.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 25%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Rob Gronkowski, TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

63%/60%

Gronkowski maintained just a 9.3% target share over the first month of the season and ended up on the wire in about 40% of both ESPN and Yahoo! leagues. It may not have been a mistake to drop him at the time, but now that O.J. Howard is out for the season, Gronkowski appears poised to reassert a top-10 value at the position. The last two weeks, Gronkowski has jumped to a 20.6% target share that is ninth at the position. On Sunday, he scored a touchdown, which looks sustainable based on his 0.9 opportunity-adjusted receiving touchdowns over the same period.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 21%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Deebo Samuel, WR, San Francisco 49ers

73%/74%

Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo was clearly limited by his high ankle sprain in Week 5 when Samuel caught just two balls for 19 yards and had six uncatchable targets according to Sportradar charting. Garoppolo looked much better on Sunday, and even with a conservative game plan that was likely exacerbated by an early lead over the Rams, the improvement was enough to bump Samuel to six catches, 66 yards, and a touchdown. After his soft debut with just 34% snaps played in Week 4, Samuel is up to 89% and 82% the last two weeks, and his 20.9% target share in that time is 29th at the position. With both quarterback and receiver finally healthy, Samuel should quickly reassert his late-2019 status as a top-20 fantasy receiver.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 20%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Justin Jackson, RB, Los Angeles Chargers

53%/46%

Jackson leads a compelling group of Chargers, Raiders, and Saints waiver options whose Week 6 byes left them under-rostered after excellent fantasy performances the week before. Jackson completely filled Austin Ekeler's injury-vacated role with 46.9% carry and 18.8% target shares in his own return to action in Week 5. And his 30.8% broken tackle rate suggests Jackson has the skills to turn a shared but receiving-heavy workload into RB2-level PPR production.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 18%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Jerick McKinnon, San Francisco 49ers

63%/71%

The 49ers can't catch a break with their injury misfortune this season. Running back Raheem Mostert is its latest -- and a repeat -- victim after suffering an ankle injury on Sunday night, the prognosis of which could take an extra day because of the timing of the game. And while there may be uncertainty around that injury, I see McKinnon as its clear major beneficiary. Rookie JaMycal Hasty earned an activation over Jeff Wilson and out-touched McKinnon nine-to-eight in relief of Mostert on Sunday. But Hasty saw that work late after the 49ers had built a multi-score lead. And Hasty isn't the Wilson-like power complement to McKinnon's receiving prowess and speed. He's McKinnon's exact size at 5-foot-9 and 205 pounds, but not as fast with a good-but-not-great 4.55s 40 time. Expect McKinnon to start if Mostert misses more time, and his 19.0 touches-per-game average from Weeks 3 and 4 with Mostert out suggests he would be an RB2 in that role.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 18%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Boston Scott, RB, Philadelphia Eagles

11%/13%

Scott is not the same obvious-seeming workload replacement for injured running back Miles Sanders that McKinnon is for Mostert. But despite sharing his height at 5-foot-6, Scott is not another Darren Sproles. Scott's 203-pound frame lands him at a 32.8 BMI that is one of the highest at the position in football. His 11-touch workload in Week 1 when Sanders was out and his 49% offensive snap share versus 10% for Corey Clement on Sunday suggest that Scott can handle an RB2 carry and target share. He deserves your fantasy consideration for as long as Sanders is sidelined.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 16%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Ryan Tannehill, QB, Tennessee Titans

53%/68%

We're a week away from having a 16-start sample for Ryan Tannehill on the Titans that will make it easy to visualize how incredible he has been with the team. But for now, I'll just have to implore you to pick Tannehill up in fantasy the way I usually do, by citing his 21.9 fantasy points per game since he took over as the team's starter in 2019. That rate is the third-best among quarterbacks with six or more starts in that span, just behind Lamar Jackson (25.7) and Dak Prescott (22.8) and just ahead of Patrick Mahomes (21.7).

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 12%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals

3%/6%

Apart from a vultured touchdown, Giovani Bernard could not translate a Joe Mixon injury-increased workload on Sunday into fantasy success. He managed just 15 yards on his eight carries and another 13 on three receptions. But Bernard is well-positioned for fantasy relevance if Mixon ends up missing more time with his foot injury. He may typically play as a receiving back, but Bernard is 5-foot-9 and 205 pounds, an identical frame to the one Jerick McKinnon rode to a heavy relief workload in September in similar circumstances, and that falls in the middle of the 29-to-31 BMI window where most bell-cow backs reside. Bernard showed that capability when Mixon missed time in Weeks 3 and 4 of 2018. He had 12 carries and five catches for 86 yards in the former and 15 carries and four catches for 96 yards in the latter of those substitute efforts, and Bernard's 48% versus 4% snap share advantage over third-string back Samaje Perine on Sunday suggests the Bengals would give him the same consideration this season.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 11%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals

44%/52%

Higgins has not been able to enjoy the spotlight his impressive rookie season would normally earn him since classmates Justin Jefferson and Chase Claypool are producing as top-five receivers this season. But a lesser short-term ceiling shouldn't stall Higgins at a 50% fantasy roster percentage. His 22.1% target share since Week 3 is 22nd at the position, and while he has not scored since the first game of his streak, Higgins has a top-10 total of 1.9 opportunity-adjusted receiving touchdowns in that time. With a 6-foot-4 and 216-pound frame and an improving rookie quarterback, Higgins will pair some touchdowns with his now-typical eight targets and 70 yards per game.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 7%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

James White, RB, New England Patriots

66%/73%

Cam Newton has made over the Patriots into a power-running team, and that has shifted the balance of power among its typical fantasy performers. Julian Edelman has suffered the most; barely holding on to a top-50 receiver spot with 53.9 PPR points this season. But while Tom Brady's other favorite target, James White, might feel like a similarly marginalized player, he has actually seen his target share spike from 15.5% last season to 24.7% in Weeks 1, 4, and 6 this season when he has played between the Patriots' Covid-related schedule shuffle and his own family tragedy. White's current target share would land him second at the position over the full season, just behind Alvin Kamara (25.9%) in the top spot and miles ahead of the rest of the field. And while White has so far failed to score a touchdown, his 0.43 opportunity-adjusted touchdown shortfall across both his carries and targets suggests he has been a bit unlucky and should score a handful of times with similar workloads over the course of a full season.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 6%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Brandin Cooks, WR, Houston Texans

78%/62%

The Texans' front-loaded schedule has been a major talking point this season since it motivated their 0-4 start and firing of Bill O'Brien. And while the Chiefs, Ravens, and Steelers are best known for their quarterbacks and offenses in general, all three of those October opponents are top-10 in defensive DVOA this season as well. As the Texans moved on to face the Vikings (-0.6%, 15th), Jaguars (19.5%, 32nd), and Titans (-1.7%, 12th) the last three weeks, their offense has come alive, and receiver Brandin Cooks has rebounded to deserve flex consideration. Cooks had a 17.1% target share with his new team over the first four weeks, just 14th at the position. But he has jumped up to 29.2% in Weeks 5 and 6, 11th-highest at the position. Meanwhile, Cooks and the Texans should continue to thrive offensively with upcoming matchups against the Packers (10.2%, 29th) and Jaguars again, bookending a Week 8 bye.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 6%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Trey Burton, TE, Indianapolis Colts

5%/20%

I don't think Burton's 59-yard, two-touchdown effort against the Bengals on Sunday summarily answers the question of which Colts tight end will be the best in fantasy this season. Mo Alie-Cox missed Week 6 with a knee injury. He played 39% of the team's offensive snaps the week before, a comparable rate to Burton's 45%, and he'll have a Week 7 bye week to try to recover. Still, Burton deserves to be on fantasy benches at the very least while the situation shakes out. Philip Rivers has historically supported exceptional fantasy tight ends. And since Burton returned from injured reserve in Week 4, his 15.7% target share and 0.9 opportunity-adjusted receiving touchdowns are both top-12 at the position.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 6%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Mike Williams, WR, Los Angeles Chargers

42%/45%

The news that Keenan Allen's back injury that held him out of the second half of the Chargers' Week 5 game was just spasms likely means a timely return. But now that Williams himself is healthy for the first time this season, I don't think he needs Allen's absence to have fantasy value. At 6-foot-4 and 220 pounds, Williams is one of the game's best end zone targets. He had two touchdowns in that Week 5 breakout, and he also has 0.084 opportunity-adjusted receiving touchdowns per target since 2018, the third-highest rate among receivers with 100 or more targets in football.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 3%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers

45%/54%

Jackson's quarterback Justin Herbert may be a rookie, but he is living among some star veterans with his fantasy productivity so far this season. With 21.6 fantasy points per game, Herbert is ninth at the position with an identical rate to MVP candidate Aaron Rodgers and just ahead of last year's No. 5 and No. 1 fantasy scorers Deshaun Watson (21.4) and Lamar Jackson (20.8). The suddenness of his ascension has left me most impressed by his confidence and poise, but Herbert should be able to maintain his fantasy value because of his accuracy. According to Next Gen Stats, he has completed 5.9% more passes than expected, the third-highest surplus at the position.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 2%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Derek Carr, QB, Las Vegas Raiders

23%/23%

Carr hasn't quite hit the highs that the rookie Herbert has. His 19.6 fantasy points per game are 13th at the position. But Carr has done his recent damage with at least 260 yards and two touchdowns against possibly strong pass defenses in the Patriots (15.1% pass defense DVOA, 22nd, but -25.2% in 2019, first), Bills (17.5%, 24th, but -10.5% in 2019, sixth), and Chiefs (-13.5%, second) in Weeks 3, 4, and 5. Carr hasn't completely changed his stripes with a relatively low 7.0-yard average depth of throw, but he's as accurate as ever. His 6.1% completion rate surplus is the second-highest in football behind only Russell Wilson (7.7%).

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 2%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Henry Ruggs, WR, Las Vegas Raiders

57%/47%

Ruggs may not seem like the same perfect rookie receiver for his veteran quarterback Carr that, for example, Justin Jefferson is for Kirk Cousins, or Chase Claypool is for Ben Roethlisberger. But while Carr may not throw the ball down the field as often as most quarterbacks, he is accurate when he makes those attempts. Based on Sportradar charting, his 58.7% accuracy rate on throws of 16-plus air yards is third-best of the 37 quarterbacks with 200 or more attempts since the start of 2019. That success gives Ruggs a chance to join the rookie receiver fantasy party, and Ruggs' 64% offensive snap share from Week 5 suggests he could even lead the class in rest-of-season targets.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 2%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Emmanuel Sanders, WR, New Orleans Saints

64%/66%

Of the pre-Week 6-bye breakouts, Sanders faces the biggest threat to his continued fantasy productivity in the form of Michael Thomas, who should return from an ankle injury and a team suspension to play in Week 7 and will likely recapture one of the league's highest target shares -- he led the position with a 33.3% share in 2019. Sanders has a pretty stark with-and-without-Thomas fantasy split this season, but I choose to interpret that as a trajectory of integration into his new team. After just a 12.7% target share in the first three weeks, Sanders jumped to a 31.9% share in Weeks 4 and 5 that was fifth-highest at the position. And that trajectory makes him my choice to end up as the team's No. 2 receiver over third-year player Tre'Quan Smith.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 2%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Tim Patrick, WR, Denver Broncos

18%/18%

It was no surprise to see Patrick out-target (eight to five) and out-produce (101 yards to 32) No. 1 receiver Jerry Jeudy against the Patriots with the latter seeing a healthy dose of Stephon Gilmore in coverage. But it's looking increasingly likely that Patrick does not need the boost of a matchup to support his fantasy value. He led the Broncos on Sunday with a 92% offensive snap share, and since Courtland Sutton went out for the season prior to Week 3, Patrick has a 21.1% target share that is 27th at the position. Noah Fant's more recent absence may motivate Patrick's 1.2 opportunity-adjusted receiving touchdowns over the same period, but Patrick is also 6-foot-4 and 212 pounds. He won't be the team's top end zone target, but he can support his 23.8% opportunity-adjusted touchdown share even when the team returns to full strength.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 2%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Keelan Cole, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

14%/29%

A week after I advocated for rookie Laviska Shenault as a waiver pickup over veteran Keelan Cole, the latter enjoyed a standout fantasy day with 143 yards and a touchdown on nine targets, even with No. 1 receiver DJ Chark on the field. Credit game script with the Jaguars' heavy volume of 44 aimed attempts, but Cole still made me question whether I had this depth chart backward, especially when he scored his third touchdown of the season versus just one for Shenault. Cole and Shenault are both 6-foot-1, but the former is lanky at just 194 pounds while the latter is built like a running back at 227 pounds. That build didn't deter Cole from running a tremendous route to separate on his 13-yard score on Sunday.

But looking back to Weeks 1 and 2, when he scored his previous touchdowns, Cole took advantage of a pair of blown assignments. The first had him wide open for a 22-yard touchdown down the right sideline.

And the second left him alone in the back of the end zone as the defense collapsed on a scrambling Gardner Minshew at the goal line.

Cole isn't without fantasy value. He (75% offensive snap share) and Shenault (73%) have room to produce alongside Chark after relegating Chris Conley (23%, down from 80% in Week 3 and 32% in Weeks 4 and 5) to a part-time role. But I wouldn't take Cole's early-season touchdown fortune as an indication that he will be a reliable red zone target this season.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Dallas Goedert, TE, Philadelphia Eagles

24%/41%

In their efforts to battle the 49ers for adjusted games lost supremacy, the Eagles lost another receiving option in Week 6 when Zach Ertz suffered an ankle injury. At some point, Goedert will be the tight end to benefit. He actually out-targeted Ertz with a 20.5% versus 16.9% target share in the first two weeks before suffering his own ankle injury. His was a break, and so I'm not expecting Goedert to come off injured reserve this Thursday when he is first eligible. But Goedert's 2019 finish in the top 10 at the position even with Ertz healthy teased a massive fantasy potential with him as the No. 1 tight end target on what is typically the most tight end-oriented passing offense in football.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Austin Hooper, TE, Cleveland Browns

62%/60%

Hooper's five catches and 52 yards may not seem like much out of context, but they accounted for nearly a third of the Browns' 165 passing yards against a Steelers defense that is formidable in general with a -9.2% defensive DVOA (seventh) and is especially so against tight ends (-43.3% DVOA, third). Hooper seemed like a drop candidate after starting the season with a 12.8% target share the first three weeks that was outside the top 20 at the position and with difficult defensive matchups and increased competition from a returning David Njoku on the horizon. Instead, Hooper has rebounded for a 25.3% target share the last three weeks that is fourth-highest in football, in the range of the position's elite fantasy options George Kittle (30.6%), Darren Waller (25.7%), and Traivs Kelce (25.4%). Hooper isn't their equal in fantasy, but he has reestablished himself as a top-10 option as much because of his improvements as the position's lack of depth.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

La'Mical Perine, RB, New York Jets

12%/18%

With the Jets falling to 0-5 and releasing veteran running back Le'Veon Bell a week before, the rookie Perine was a natural choice to see his workload expand in Week 6. A glance at his final line of seven carries, two catches, and 36 total yards versus 11, four, and 70 for Frank Gore makes it seem like he didn't. But I think he was poised to do so. Perine out-carried Gore six to five in the first half. But after dropping a critical pass with space to run with 1:23 left in the first half, Perine took just one carry in the second half versus six for Gore.

It may be a fool's errand to try to understand head coach Adam Gase, but it seems reasonable that a Day 3 rookie might have confidence issues or need to learn from some in-game coaching. Even with the drop, I have optimism that Perine can become a better fantasy option that his veteran teammate. He outpaced Gore with a 58% versus 35% snap snare this week, and his 12.7% receiving ratio at Florida was one of the highest in this year's running back class.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Breshad Perriman, WR, New York Jets

16%/8%

It may seem like a losing proposition to recommend multiple members of the 0-6 Jets for fantasy. But while Perriman couldn't translate the eight targets he saw in his return to action from an ankle injury to more than modest production of 62 yards and no touchdowns, he was healthy enough to tie slot receiver Jamison Crowder for the team lead with an 89% offensive snap share. That merits some fantasy attention because, while Perriman will likely trail Crowder in target share when both players are healthy, he is undoubtedly the team's best red zone option. At 6-foot-2 and 215 pounds, Perriman has 5 inches and 38 pounds on Crowder and one inch and 20 pounds on Jeff Smith. And he has 0.078 opportunity-adjusted receiving touchdowns per target since the start of 2019, tied for the sixth-highest rate of the 96 receivers with 50 or more targets in that time.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No


Players on More Than 80% of Rosters to Add

Kareem Hunt, RB, Cleveland Browns (98%/98%)
D.J. Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers (97%/98%)
Will Fuller, WR, Houston Texans (94%/95%)
A.J. Brown, WR, Tennessee Titans (93%/96%)
Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (93%/92%)
Ronald Jones, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (90%/94%)
Le'Veon Bell, RB, Kansas City Chiefs (89%/88%)
Jamison Crowder, WR, New York Jets (88%/86%)
Myles Gaskin, RB, Miami Dolphins (88%/83%)
Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington Football Team (87%/88%)
Chase Claypool, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers (83%/49%)
Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings (82%/87%)


Players on More Than 20% of Rosters You Can Drop

Alexander Mattison, RB, Minnesota Vikings (92%/67%)
Marvin Jones, WR, Detroit Lions (67%/63%)
Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys (35%/50%)
Malcolm Brown, RB, Los Angeles Rams (38%/31%)
Kerryon Johnson, RB, Detroit Lions (37%/18%)
Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants (32%/28%)
Courtland Sutton, WR, Denver Broncos (32%/19%)
Matt Breida, RB, Miami Dolphins (29%/24%)
DeSean Jackson, WR, Philadelphia Eagles (28%/24%)
Allen Lazard, WR, Green Bay Packers (27%/33%)
Russell Gage, WR, Atlanta Falcons (26%/27%)
Tarik Cohen, RB, Chicago Bears (26%/15%)
Jordan Howard, RB, Miami Dolphins (25%/26%)
Duke Johnson, RB, Houston Texans (24%/25%)
Baker Mayfield, QB, Cleveland Browns (19%/37%)
Chris Herndon, TE, New York Jets (16%/22%)

Comments

6 comments, Last at 21 Oct 2020, 12:10pm

1 Tua

This question might exceed the bounds of this article, but where would you place Tua as a FA add in a Superflex format, in the context of a 16-team league where only backups are available? The question is largely academic, as I already have Russell Wilson and Brady starting every week. Rostering a third QB on a short bench (12 spots) doesn't seem like a wise use of resources.    

BTW, I picked up Fulgham last week. Thanks for the strong recommendation.

 

     

4 Re: Tua

In reply to by ALauff

Without having a totally clear mental picture of your league, I'd guess that I'd rather have Tua than Emmanuel Sanders and Tim Patrick but probably not as much as Mike Williams.  He would definitely be useful as bye week fill-in, but I can't imagine you would want to start him over say the top-20 fantasy QBs.

6 The winning bid was $21,…

In reply to by Scott Spratt

The winning bid was $21, awarded to a team whose QBs are Drew Lock and Baker Mayfield [barf]. So, yeah, he definitely needed Tua more than I did. I refrained from placing a bid, which I'll regret if Tua is great right away. That scenario doesn't feel plausible, but who knows?      

2 and with a 30.7% target…

and with a 30.7% target share that dwarves those

Dwarfs (it's not a noun). Although if Wentz's other receivers were secretly replaced by the Seven Dwarves, it'd explain some things.

5 This rule is enforced by convention only

Logically, "dwarves" is as correct as "believes" for "belief" "grieves" for "grief" "proves" for "proof," etc. I take my examples from Fowler's Modern English Usage, 4th edition, but the interpretation is mine. IMO, prescriptive usage is woefully obsolete and speaks of a time and values incompatible with the modern world. Language is not a set of definitions and rules determined by and enforced by academics.