Win the Wire: Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert
Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert
Photo: USA Today Sports Images

Injuries will once again lead the headlines for Week 8. It's hard to get any higher profile than Odell Beckham in that respect. But for the waiver wire, this week features a diverse set of players whose increased value comes from their recent breakouts, recent signings, and recent returns from injuries themselves in addition to likely role increases due to teammate injuries. I'll try to sort it all out for you.

Roster percentages are for ESPN/Yahoo.

Travis Fulgham, WR, Philadelphia Eagles


By production, Fulgham just had his worst game since his Week 5 breakout. On Thursday night against the Giants, he caught five passes for 73 yards and failed to score. But I suspect that even the fantasy players in the 30% or so of holdout leagues can see through those statistics to Fulgham's third straight game with 10 or more targets. His 11 for the week were three more than any other Eagles player and five more than any other Eagles wide receiver. And his 29.3% target share since Week 5 is the sixth-highest of all wide receivers in football. Moreover, the 6-foot-2, 215-pound Fulgham has produced 2.61 opportunity-adjusted touchdowns the last three weeks, the most of any receiver and a number that suggests his actual total of two scores in that time is, if anything, unlucky. It seems strange to say of a sixth-round draft pick that the Lions let go after his rookie season, but Fulgham is the total package. I'd recommend you spend your entire FAB to add him if his current 70% roster rate didn't suggest a public underrating of the Eagles' new No. 1 receiver.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 51%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: Yes

Diontae Johnson, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers


Johnson's shortfall of an 80% roster rate surprises me less than Fulgham's since the former's ankle injury late in Week 7 was his third injury in a game so far this season. Fortunately, Johnson believes this one is a bruise that should not affect his availability in Week 8 and beyond. Health is really the only thing that has held him back from WR1 status this year. His team-leading 15 targets on Sunday boosted him to a 31.4% target share in Weeks 1, 2, and 7 -- the three games that he mostly made it through healthy -- which is nearly double teammate Chase Claypool's 15.1% since his breakout Week 5 performance and more than 10% ahead of JuJu Smith-Schuster's 19.7% rate for the season. And while the 5-foot-10 and 183-pound Johnson is less obviously a red zone threat than the bigger Fulgham, Johnson still leads the Steelers with 2.28 opportunity-adjusted receiving touchdowns despite his missed time, which suggests that his actual rate of three scores in five games is mostly sustainable.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 41%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: Yes

Phillip Lindsay, RB, Denver Broncos


There are a handful of running back waiver options for Week 8 that have clearer short-term paths to playing time than Lindsay. Lindsay may in fact miss Week 8 after suffering an apparent concussion in the third quarter of Sunday's game against the Chiefs. But Lindsay almost definitely will have temporary value when Melvin Gordon takes the three-game suspension the CBA mandates for his recent DUI, and I'm growing increasingly optimistic that he can take the Broncos' RB1 job from Gordon even when the latter is available.

In the preseason, I believed that Gordon would out-produce Lindsay in fantasy because, despite a typically lower yards-per-carry-average, he more frequently avoided negative plays and because he contributed more as a receiver. Well, despite counting stat success this season, Gordon has fallen short of Lindsay in those two previous virtues. To the first, Gordon has just a 42.7% success rate versus Lindsay's 59.0%, which is sixth-best of all running backs with 25 or more carries. And to the second, Gordon has a dreadful -52.2% receiving DVOA. That latter rate may be the result of a Broncos offensive scheme that limits their backs' receiving efficiency, but that is more reason for the team to rely on their better rusher. And at this point, I don't think there is any doubt that Lindsay is that player.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 18%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Justin Herbert, QB, Los Angeles Chargers


With Tua Tagovailoa poised to start for the first time in Week 7, we should soon learn whether the 2020 draft class was so historically great that Herbert could deserve to be drafted third among the quarterbacks and still become a clear top-10 fantasy starter less than halfway into his rookie season. Herbert's fantasy point totals make that latter point a difficult one to argue against. After another prolific output of 347 passing yards, 66 rushing yards, and four total touchdowns against the Jaguars on Sunday, he is up to a 25.8-fantasy point average this season that trails just Russell Wilson, Kyler Murray, and Dak Prescott at the position. Herbert is beating Patrick Mahomes (24.5). And he is doing so with real-world efficiency. Herbert's 23.7% passing DVOA is seventh-best, ahead of perhaps the two most efficient passers the game has ever seen in Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 16%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Antonio Brown, WR, Tampa Bay Buccaneers


News broke on Saturday that Brown would sign with the Buccaneers, so if you failed to add him in your fantasy leagues then, you may have missed your opportunity. Entering his first non-free agent waiver period, Brown is already on the verge of an 80% roster rate. But if he remains available in your leagues (and you don't mind his character), feel free to spend up to try to add Brown. He will be eligible to play in Week 9 after completing his eight-game suspension. And while the Bucs roster was already crowded for pass-catchers before his arrival, Brown may be the archetype of a player whose talent you trust to earn him a healthy target share in any situation.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 16%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Boston Scott, RB, Philadelphia Eagles


Scott kicks off a string of short-term running back options who should have RB2 value as long as their starters miss time. With Miles Sanders sidelined on Thursday, Scott faithfully fulfilled those expectations with 46 yards on 12 carries and 46 more on three catches. He played 69% of the Eagles' offensive snaps and took 12 of the team's 16 running back carries, and he should do something similar if he substitutes for Sanders again in Week 8. If Scott has a flaw in fantasy, it's in the red zone. And that isn't because of his size -- Scott weighs 203 pounds at his small height of 5-foot-6, and that gives one of the highest BMIs at the position. He just has the fantasy misfortune of playing in an offense with a pair of quarterbacks who can score at the goal line. Carson Wentz (0.82) and Jalen Hurts (0.17) combined for almost exactly one opportunity-adjusted rushing score on Thursday, and that total was four times that of their temporary lead back (0.26).

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 15%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Giovani Bernard, RB, Cincinnati Bengals


Bernard is hardly a big back, himself. But at 5-foot-9 and 205 pounds, he falls in the 29-to-31 BMI window that houses most of the game's bell-cow backs. As such, it was little surprise to see Bernard take 13 of the Bengals' 14 running back carries and see 18 total touches on Sunday. He's caught at least four passes in his three games substituting for an injured Joe Mixon in the latter's career. Given the team's likely game script, he could catch eight and play as a fantasy RB1 this weekend against the Titans if Mixon misses another game with his foot injury. But Sunday will likely also be the last chance Bernard has to start, at least for this Mixon injury. The Bengals have their bye in Week 9.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 15%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Leonard Fournette, RB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers


Fournette returned from an ankle injury in Week 7 to more or less split time with incumbent No. 1 back Ronald Jones. Fournette's11 carries and no touchdowns trailed Jones' 13 and one, but Fournette led Jones in targets (six to one) and snap percentage (56% to 43%). On their own, those splits wouldn't mean much given that the Bucs built a multi-score lead on the Raiders and had no need to rely on their best back to salt the win away. However, I still think this game was illustrative because Jones had another drop in it. Entering the week, Sportradar charted Jones as dropping three passes, making this his fourth. As of Week 6, that landed him a 15.0% drop rate on his catchable targets, a bottom-10 rate among running backs but not one that stands out as job-threatening. But other sources were less kind.

Given the discrepancy, I thought it might be worth taking a look for myself, and boy was it a depressing exercise. By my count, Jones has six blatant drops. One of those was wiped out by a penalty, but Tom Brady doesn't forget. Presented without commentary, here's the first.

The second.

The third.

The fourth.

The fifth.

And the sixth.

Woof. Jones has been tremendously efficient as a runner this season. His 149 rushing DYAR leads the position, and his 28.0% rushing DVOA is third-best. But those drops are drive-killers. Just look at Tom Brady's face on the last clip. That's the face of a Hall of Famer who is probably never throwing you another pass again. Maybe Jones can specialize and carve out a fantasy-relevant role as a runner and touchdown-scorer, similar to what Sony Michel was for Brady on the Patriots. But Fournette has been just as effective a rusher this season with a 31.8% DVOA on a smaller total of 24 attempts. And Fournette also caught 3.7 passes per game in his Jaguars career. I don't know when the workload will transition, but I feel very confident Fournette will become the team's lead back, sooner or later. And even in Week 8, he may be the better fantasy choice given his pass-catching advantage.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 13%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Justin Jackson, RB, Los Angeles Chargers


Jackson couldn't take full advantage of what looked like an enticing matchup against the Jaguars on Sunday, but that makes sense with hindsight. For one, the Chargers trailed into the second half and were forced to pass more to catch up. And second, while the Jaguars are a bottom-half defense against both the run (-2.2%, 22nd) and the pass (37.5%, 32nd), their relative weakness against the latter made a Herbert-heavier game plan seem prudent. But even in a game where Jackson produced just 12 yards on five carries, he salvaged his fantasy day with five catches and 43 receiving yards. And now with some extra evidence, Jackson seems more certain to be at least a full receiving placement for Austin Ekeler. The former's 16.2% target share since Week 5 is better even than Ekeler's excellent 14.8% rate from the first three weeks. In particular in PPR formats, Jackson is a worthy substitute for at least another two weeks on Ekeler's initial four- to six-week estimated timetable for recovery.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 8%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Joshua Kelley, RB, Los Angeles Chargers


Even while his 12 carries, 17 touches, and 47% offensive snap share labeled him the Chargers' running back 1A in Week 7, Kelley seems likely to trail both Jackson and Ekeler in average weekly scoring but stick around as the team's No. 2 back for the rest of the season. That isn't a bad place to be for fantasy. Kelley has had at least eight carries and 10 touches in every game this season. He's on a 16-game pace for 200 carries, 35 catches, and 931 total yards. That has bye-week value in even shallow formats, more so when you consider his 1.64-rushing-touchdown shortfall makes it likely he will score more frequently than his one time so far in six games.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 6%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Carlos Hyde, RB, Seattle Seahawks


After a mid-foot sprain knocked Chris Carson out of the Seahawks' Sunday night loss to the Cardinals after just 15 snaps, Hyde stepped up as a full workload replacement. He out-snapped Travis Homer 49% to 18% and out-touched Homer 18 to three. That plus Carson's expected week or two absence and Rashaad Penny's lack of readiness could catapult Hyde to a temporary RB2 status that outlasts those of both Scott and Bernard. But those two players have already proven their bell-cow chops. Hyde has done the same in his career for previous teams but not yet for the Seahawks. Despite the final result, 14 of Hyde's 15 carries came while the Seahawks held a lead on Sunday. And even with their 5-1 record, that may not be the case for the team facing the 49ers, Bills, and Rams the next three weeks, the latter two of which will be on the road. In more neutral game scripts, Hyde could cede more snaps to the receiving back Homer.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 6%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

A.J. Green, WR, Cincinnati Bengals


Green has provided a rollercoaster ride for both the Bengals and fantasy players this season. He looked like a comeback player of the year candidate with a 23.4% target share the first two weeks. Then he fell to an 11.3% share outside the top 70 at the position between Weeks 3 and 5. And in the two games since, he has rebounded to a 27.9% rate that is 11th at the position. Normally, I'd say that a player's full-season share better indicates his likely rest-of-season usage, but in Week 5 I noticed that Green was moving poorly, and an underreported injury would neatly explain that valley of target share. That suspicion is the only motivation I need to spend some FAB to add Green in the leagues in which he was dropped. He already screamed positive regression with a 4.09-receiving-touchdown shortfall, more than double that of any other receiver in football. Add that to a possible consistent top-20 target share and Green could be a confident WR2 option in just a few short weeks.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 5%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Tee Higgins, WR, Cincinnati Bengals


Green's target gains aren't necessarily losses for Higgins. The rookie was a distant third on the Bengals with just five targets on Sunday, but his 19.3% target share since Week 3 is 31st among all wide receivers, and his 84% offensive snap share in Week 7 was in range with Green (87%) and Tyler Boyd (80%) despite Higgins' brief time spent in the blue tent with an upper body injury. He may not have the fantasy ceilings of rookie receivers such as Justin Jefferson and Henry Ruggs, who are top-two target options for their teams. But on a Bengals team whose bottom-five run-blocking (3.81 adjusted line yards) and bottom-half defensive DVOA demand extra passing, Higgins can maintain shallow-format flex value even while Green and Boyd have the same.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 4%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Chase Edmonds, RB, Arizona Cardinals


Edmonds would belong with Scott and Bernard near the top of this article if he were poised to fill in for an injured Kenyan Drake on Sunday. But in good news for Drake and the team and bad news for Edmond's fantasy prospects, the Cardinals have their bye in Week 8. And with early indications suggesting that Drake's ankle injury may only knock him out a few weeks, it's difficult to recommend a heavy FAB offer for a player who would have to fill a bench spot this week when other players are on bye and need fantasy replacements. I excluded Gus Edwards and J.K. Dobbins in last week's waiver article when they were in a similar situation. I'll include Edmonds this week, but it's as much because of his 13.6% target share that is eighth among running backs this season as it is Drake pessimism. Even when Drake is healthy, Edmonds has a James White kind of fantasy value, and that makes him a more palatable stash than a pure handcuff.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 3%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Brandon Aiyuk, WR, San Francisco 49ers


Mecole Hardman may have proved the last two weeks that there is no such thing as a wide receiver handcuff. But 49ers rookie Brandon Aiyuk can take another bite at that apple at least in Week 8 with Deebo Samuel poised to sit out with a hamstring injury. Even with Samuel healthy, Aiyuk made a case for fantasy consideration with an 85% offensive snap share or better in Weeks 4, 5, and 6 that he bookended with a pair of touchdowns. He didn't score on Sunday, but he caught six passes for 115 yards with Samuel limited to a 62% snap share with his injury. Meanwhile, the timing of Samuel's injury couldn't be better for Aiyuk's temporary fantasy prospects. The 49ers travel to Seattle on Sunday to face the league's 29th DVOA pass defense, then host a quick-turnaround Thursday game against the Packers and their No. 25 ranked pass defense.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 2%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Trey Burton, TE, Indianapolis Colts


I don't fully trust Burton's increasing trend of 16, 33, and 58 yards the last three weeks, his first after coming off of injured reserve to start the season. That final total in Week 6 came with Mo Alie-Cox on the sidelines with a knee injury, and the team's Week 7 bye gave Alie-Cox two weeks to heal up for a Week 8 game in Detroit. Still, Burton has impressed even alongside his two prominent tight end teammates. He has played between 45% and 56% of the Colts' offensive snaps in all three of his healthy weeks, seen a 15.7% target share in that time that is 12th among all tight ends, and supported his receiving touchdown with 0.93 opportunity-adjusted ones. That's certainly better than Alie-Cox and Jack Doyle can claim with just 0.48 and 0.53 respective opportunity-adjusted touchdowns on as many actual touchdowns.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 2%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Richard Rodgers, TE, Philadelphia Eagles


Burton may be a fantasy player's best chance to make one tight end move to last them the rest of the season, but the Eagles provide a couple of options that trade extra effort for higher ceilings. The first is the short-term play Rodgers. With both Zach Ertz and Dallas Goedert out, Rodgers proved he was the team's de facto No. 1 tight end with six catches and 85 yards on eight targets and an 85% offensive snap share that lapped Jason Croom's 11% rate several times over. Rodgers' 19.5% target share in Week 7 was top-five at the position, and he won't fall far short of that in fantasy productivity for as long as the team's normal top two options are sidelined. But I suspect that will be for just one more week. After a Sunday night game against the reeling Cowboys, the Eagles will have their bye in Week 9.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Dallas Goedert, TE, Philadelphia Eagles


Meanwhile, Goedert is on track to return from his foot injury when the Eagles return from their bye in Week 10. That may seem far away, but it nevertheless is two weeks ahead of even the optimistic updated timetable for Ertz's return from his ankle injury. Meanwhile, rumors suggest that the team is looking to trade the disgruntled Ertz, a move that could vault Goedert into the top five at the position in fantasy.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

La'Mical Perine, RB, New York Jets


Even with a touchdown, Perine fell short of a standout fantasy day on Sunday. And on an equal number of 11 carries, he fell 21 yards short of Frank Gore's total of 60 yards rushing. But Perine continued to foreshadow a superior fantasy future, expanding his 58% to 35% snap share advantage over Gore from Week 6 to a 70% to 28% advantage this week. Even a 100% carry share couldn't on its own make Perine a clear RB2 in fantasy with the Jets' poor run-blocking (4.17 adjusted line yards) and tendency to trail in games and be forced to pass. But Perine's path to fantasy relevance comes through the air in any case. Gore has exceeded two targets in just two of last 23 games, dating back to his time with the Bills. Perine has now reached three targets in back-to-back games and had an excellent 12.7% receiving ratio in college.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Derek Carr, QB, Las Vegas Raiders


Carr hasn't hit the same fantasy highs as Herbert this year, but he has bested the rookie with a 32.2% passing DVOA that trails just Ryan Tannehill and Patrick Mahomes at the position. And for fantasy purposes, Carr has avoided lows almost entirely and done so despite difficult circumstances. He has thrown for at least 260 yards and two touchdowns in five consecutive games, the most recent four of which came against defenses either expected to excel against the pass such as the Patriots (17th pass defense DVOA) and Bills (28th) or that actually have excelled against the pass such as the Chiefs (fourth) and Bucs (first). Stuck in the AFC West, Carr doesn't outright avoid more difficult passing matchups the rest of the season. But he does draw the 19th-ranked Browns and the bottom-three Falcons and Jets over the next month and a half. And with talented deep-play receiver additions such as Henry Ruggs and Nelson Agholor, Carr has pulled his 6.6-yard average depth of target from 2019 up to a palatable 7.3-yard rate this season and can sustain his QB2 fantasy value with more than occasional explosive plays.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Sterling Shepard, WR, New York Giants


Coming off a turf toe injury and with a history of concussions, Shepard will remain a health risk for the rest of this season no matter his production. But when he does find the field, Shepard should be a decent flex option if his history with Daniel Jones is any indication. With the team's franchise passer, Shepard has averaged 7.8 targets, 5.2 receptions, 53 yards, and 0.40 touchdowns over 10 games. That has him on a full-season pace of 125 targets, 83 receptions, 848 yards, 6.4 touchdowns, pretty much exactly what Jamison Crowder provided fantasy players last season.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Rashard Higgins, WR, Cleveland Browns


With a 5-2 record and an upcoming schedule that includes the Raiders (26th), Texans (20th), Eagles (27th), Jaguars (32nd), Titans (24th), Giants (23rd), and Jets (31st) in the bottom third of DVOA pass defenses, the Browns are in excellent shape to make the playoffs for the first time since 2002. And with that slate of enticing matchups and star receiver Odell Beckham out for the season with a torn ACL, Higgins is poised to be a major part of that history. He led the team's receivers with both his 85% snap share and 21.4% target share last week and seems likely to play alongside Jarvis Landry in the team's two-receiver sets going forward.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Nelson Agholor, WR, Las Vegas Raiders


I dismissed Agholor as a fantasy option last week even though he had scored two touchdowns in two weeks since being elevated to a starter. At that point, he had peaked at four targets in his five games with the Raiders this season. That just isn't enough to support fantasy value. But then Agholor scored another touchdown in Week 7, this time on nine targets that tied target-hog Darren Waller for the team lead and three ahead of any other wide receiver on the team. Even with the bump, Agholor's 13.6% target share since Week 4 is just 60th among wide receivers. But his touchdowns tell the story of a player talented enough to maintain his elevated target share even as players such as Henry Ruggs and eventually Bryan Edwards return to the lineup. In Week 1, Agholor used his body to create a buffer between himself and his defender on a fade to the right side of the end zone.

In Week 4, he out-sped three Bills defensive backs to build a 5-yard cushion on a 49-yard touchdown that an unrelated illegal formation penalty erased.

And then he avenged the overturned score with one that counted two quarters later, beating safety Jordan Poyer with a simple out route but leaping to make the catch and tapping his feet just inside the left boundary.

In Week 5, he coupled his speed with a subtly strong route, weaving behind a shorter-breaking teammate who pulled a front safety forward and in between a deep safety (Tyrann Mathieu) and cornerback for a 59-yard touchdown strike.

And most recently in Week 7, Agholor easily and expectedly beat linebacker Lavonte David on a 20-yard touchdown but demonstrated great leaping and ball-tracking skills to secure the catch on a throw high and behind him.

Those scores showed off myriad skills. I don't think it even matters if Carr continues to be a top-five passer in his accuracy on deep attempts. Agholor can thrive with either a conservative or aggressive passing approach and should maintain his increase from a 19% offensive snap share the first two weeks to at least 78% in four straight games.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Tevin Coleman, RB, San Francisco 49ers


I'm not sure which 49ers running back to recommend for fantasy this week. Before Sunday, I assumed it would be Jerick McKinnon since he averaged 19 touches in Weeks 3 and 4 with Raheem Mostert sidelined. But McKinnon barely played in Week 7, and head coach Kyle Shanahan since explained that was a conscious decision to limit the workload of a player with his own spotty injury history. That makes sense, but it hardly inspires confidence in McKinnon's fantasy value. Before about 6:30 p.m. on Sunday, I assumed the 49ers' top back would be Jeff Wilson, who overcame a questionable tag to run for 112 yards and three touchdowns against the Patriots' previously decent-seeming 18th-ranked DVOA run defense. But then Wilson suffered a late ankle injury that could land him on injured reserve alongside Mostert. That leaves rookie JaMycal Hasty and possible injury returnee Tevin Coleman. And while the former has the better chance to produce in Week 8, you could never trust him in your lineups this week to benefit, and that all but erases the window to capitalize on Mostert's injury absence. For me, that makes Coleman the best of what suddenly seem like bad choices on the 49ers for fantasy. If he returns and produces in the coming weeks, Coleman could at least reestablish his former 1B workload that would make him a flex consideration in time for the fantasy playoffs.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Wayne Gallman, RB, New York Giants


In theory, Gallman is the final one-week running back fill-in option on the heels of Devonta Freeman's Week 7 ankle injury. That injury came early enough on Thursday for Gallman to assert himself as the clear replacement. He produced 54 total yards on 10 carries and five catches and more than doubled Dion Lewis' usage with a 53% versus 25% snap share. The problem is that the Giants' next game is on Monday night against the Buccaneers. Unless Freeman can preemptively be deemed able or unable to play, fantasy players likely cannot risk starting Gallman without a viable Monday alternative. And even in the best-case scenario for his value, Gallman will likely fall outside of RB2 consideration against the Bucs' No. 1 DVOA run defense that held Aaron Jones and Josh Jacobs to 41 and 31 respective yards on 13 touches apiece the last two weeks.

Recommended FAB bid (% of maximum): 1%
Should you use your No. 1 waiver priority on him: No

Players on More Than 80% of Rosters to Add

DJ Moore, WR, Carolina Panthers (96%/97%)
A.J. Brown, WR, Tennessee Titans (95%/97%)
Will Fuller, WR, Houston Texans (94%/95%)
Tom Brady, QB, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (93%/92%)
Antonio Gibson, RB, Washington Football Team (91%/88%)
Chase Claypool, WR, Pittsburgh Steelers (90%/90%)
Le'Veon Bell, RB, Kansas City Chiefs (88%/90%)
D'Andre Swift, RB, Detroit Lions (87%/90%)
Myles Gaskin, RB, Miami Dolphins (86%/83%)
Justin Jefferson, WR, Minnesota Vikings (85%/89%)
Rob Gronkowski, TE, Tampa Bay Buccaneers (84%/82%)
Noah Fant, TE, Denver Broncos (81%/80%)
Jarvis Landry, WR, Cleveland Browns (81%/73%)
T.J. Hockenson, TE, Detroit Lions (80%/92%)
Brandin Cooks, WR, Houston Texans (80%/79%)
Hayden Hurst, TE, Atlanta Falcons (70%/85%)
Ryan Tannehill, QB, Tennessee Titans (69%/82%)

Players on More Than 20% of Rosters You Can Drop

Odell Beckham, WR, Cleveland Browns (98%/93%)
Michael Gallup, WR, Dallas Cowboys (68%/78%)
Alexander Mattison, RB, Minnesota Vikings (62%/50%)
Marvin Jones, WR, Detroit Lions (57%/50%)
Saquon Barkley, RB, New York Giants (31%/27%)
Kerryon Johnson, RB, Detroit Lions (30%/13%)
Courtland Sutton, WR, Denver Broncos (28%/18%)
Malcolm Brown, RB, Los Angeles Rams (27%/20%)
DeSean Jackson, WR, Philadelphia Eagles (26%/23%)
Dak Prescott, QB, Dallas Cowboys (25%/24%)
N'Keal Harry, WR, New England Patriots (25%/18%)
Allen Lazard, WR, Green Bay Packers (24%/31%)
Matt Breida, RB, Miami Dolphins (24%/20%)
Tarik Cohen, RB, Chicago Bears (22%/13%)
Jordan Howard, RB, Miami Dolphins (21%/21%)
Duke Johnson, RB, Houston Texans (20%/19%)
Andy Dalton, QB, Dallas Cowboys (16%/26%)


3 comments, Last at 27 Oct 2020, 1:02pm

1 Denzel Mims

I'm surprised to see that Mims is not mentioned this week. He was a highly regarded WR coming out of college last year, from a class which has shown well this year so far. He co-led the Jets in targets and will be seeing plenty more as the Jets will be playing from behind so frequently.


Not some one to burn a priority on, or much FAAB, but certainly worth a look.

3 Re: Mims

In reply to by condor654

I don't think Mims has shallow-league value. Mims saw that target share in a game that Jamison Crowder missed, and the Jets play the Chiefs and Patriots before a Week 10 bye.  I don't think you'd have a realistic scenario where you'd play him before Week 11 at the earliest.